In my predictions for 2013, I made the following prediction on the future of the traditional “leaders” in the Content Management space.
First Major On-Premises Traditional ECM Vendor will become Obsolete: I know, obvious right? Statistically speaking, one of those vendors will likely still be a market leader in 10 years. In 2013, we’ll see our next elimination for that spot (though they will be in denial). To make this easier to measure, I’ll name the contenders: EMC, IBM, Open Text, and Oracle. Microsoft falls into this category but it won’t be them, at least not in 2013.
Aside from simple statistical probability, I saw a few things this fall that led to this prediction.
- Talked to people attending the IBM Information OnDemand while I was in Las Vegas.
- Attended the Open Text conference in Orlando.
- Watched the news out of Momentum Europe.
- Kept my eyes open.
What I’ve seen is a scary amount of consistency among the players.