Top Predictions For 2010
Everyone seems to be making a looking back post and/or a predictions post. I thought I would throw one against the wall and see if it stuck.
- Constantly Hyping Acronyms Of Systems: (Inspired by Peter Monks) WCM is suffering. It doesn’t really cover mobile platforms well and there are big differences in the presentation and the management of the landscape. Let’s create Mobile Content Management (MCM), Enterprise Information Management (EIM), Omnipresent Content Management (OCM), Content Production Systems (CPS), Apple Content Management (ACM), and a few more. Now that the market has the concept of ECM, lets muddy the waters some.
- SharePoint 2010 Won’t Matter: Got your attention? SP 2007 was a big hit. It has made a lot of headway, so much so that people are still trying to get a handle on their environments in many cases. This makes upgrades more daunting. I suspect that many will wait until SP1 is released and some best practices are out before taking the plunge. It will put a lot of pressure on ECM vendors, but that is it.
- 2010 Will Not be the Year of CMIS: Another shocker, at least from me. I see a lot of vendor support, but as Lee Dallas mentioned in the comments of his predictions, there needs to be application vendor adoption to really create impact. CMIS will continue to advance and make gains, but I see 2011 being the big year for CMIS adoption ACROSS the industry.
- Google Wave Gets More Hype: (Inspired by Ron Miller) The second version will be released and invites will become plentiful, but nobody will know want to do with it on an ongoing basis. This will be solved when someone builds a better interface and people can then use it outside of the browser. That will happen at the end of the year.
- Records Management and Enterprise 2.0 Will Collide: (Inspired by CMS Watch) Somebody will get in trouble for something on an “Enterprise 2.0″ platform and it will make the headlines. A mad scramble will result from vendors saying how they can solve the problem. Of course, you and I know that a little thought would prevent this from happening, but that thought won’t occur until 2011.
- The Kindle and Nook Will Die: I hope you saved your receipt. Tablets are coming. Why get a Kindle or any other option when a tablet will knock them dead? I think that will be next year’s big gift and people will regret jumping into the digital reader water quite so fast.
- The Cloud will Remain a Fog: (Inspired by John Newton)I see a lot of down-hype here. People will still move towards using the cloud, but it will be heavy on the smaller instances. I see a lot of people looking at creating private clouds and moving applications there. That takes time, but the move will continue to build those private clouds. The question, will those clouds get built before the public clouds hit five 9s of performance and create ways to get your information out of the cloud?
- Open Text will Make a Major Acquisition: Everyone needs a gimmee prediction to keep their average up.
That’s it. I’d write more, but I have a party to get to in a few minutes.
Happy New Year!!!